http://www.hindu.com/2010/06/12/stories/2010061257440400.htm
My monsoon story in The Hindu on June 12:
THIRUVANANTHAPURAM: The southwest monsoon entered a dynamic phase over Kerala on Friday with the flow of winds from the Arabian Sea strengthening in speed and taking a direction from the west to drive the rain clouds far inland.
The State received widespread rainfall for the third day in succession, heavy in many places. The heaviest recorded during the 24 hours ending 8.30 a.m. on Friday was 7 cm at Koyilandy. Places such as Kudalur, Kannur, Kozhikode, Kochi airport, Piravam, Mancompu and Kumarakam received 5 cm of rainfall each. The catchments of the reservoirs in the high range areas of Idukki district received rainfall of varying intensity.
The numerical weather prediction models of India Meteorological Department (IMD) suggest the rains further intensifying to reach the peak of the ongoing surge by Monday.
The winds even inshore could touch a speed of 45-55 km an hour on occasions during the three days till Monday.
A low pressure system was in position over west central Bay of Bengal on Friday drawing the monsoon flow from the Arabian Sea across the peninsula.
The IMD's models show the likelihood of this ‘low' rolling swiftly across the peninsula to merge with an offshore trough on the west coast by Saturday to become a stronger system.
The models predict the system growing in strength to a depression and moving towards north parallel to the west coast to make its landfall across the Gujarat coast by June 17. Kerala will be within the active range of the system till Monday/Tuesday as it moves north spreading rainfall along the entire west coast.
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