Monsoon revival likely in 5-6 days

http://www.hindu.com/2010/06/04/stories/2010060453420400.htm

My monsoon story in The Hindu on June 4:

THIRUVANANTHAPURAM: The monsoon flow over Kerala has gone haywire under the distracting influence of the “very severe cyclonic storm Phet,” now hovering over the Oman coast, but the flow is set to fall into its pattern in another five or six days, according to the numerical weather prediction models of India Meteorological Department (IMD).

Almost from the very day the IMD announced the onset of the monsoon over Kerala on May 31, the weather system that quickly developed into a cyclonic storm, from its tentative beginning as an upper level circulation over the southeast Arabian Sea, had started siphoning off to its centre all the moisture feed from the sea robbing the State of the kind of rainfall usual at monsoon onset.

From the southeast Arabian Sea, the system kept moving northwest and, on Thursday, was set to cross the Oman coast in a day's time. It is then traced to move in a northeast direction to cross the Pakistan coast and the adjoining coast of Gujarat by Sunday, the IMD's cyclone tracking and forecast bulletin said.

On entering the land, the system is forecast to quickly spend itself out spreading rainfall in Gujarat, Rajasthan and even parts of Uttar Pradesh, according to the IMD's weather prediction models.

By the beginning of next week (Monday/ Tuesday), the ripples set off by ‘Phet' in the atmosphere over the Arabian Sea are seen to begin the process of settling down, leaving Kerala and the southern peninsula open to the free play of the monsoon currents blowing in from southwest.

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